Both teams are in must win positions and Pittman is Minshew’s go-to guy. He’s averaging over 70+ yards per game and had less than 60+ yards in a game only three times this season.
Jonathan Taylor 50+ Rushing Yards -270
19+ carries in each of his last 5 games played and averaging 4 YPC this season projecting for 76 rushing yards.
C.J. Stroud 2+ Passing Touchdowns-111
He hasn’t thrown for two or more TD’s since week 12 against the Jaguars, but with an opportunity to get into the playoffs and further his OROY campaign I’m betting he gets it done.
Dalton Schultz 25+ Receiving Yards -420
Schultz has shown that he can go missing in action at times this year, registering less than 10+ receiving yards in a game 4 times. However, that all happened when Tank Dell was still on the field demanding targets. Without Dell, and in a must-win scenario, it all projects for a strong showing from Schultz.
This figures to be an exciting game between two explosive offenses. But sometimes these premium primetime matchups don’t live up to all the hype, which is why my props aren’t too aggressive.
The sportsbooks project superstar WR’s Ceedee Lamb and Amon-Ra St. Brown to continue their great play and their odds reflect it. Needing over 80 yards and 5 receptions for a minimal payout isn’t worth it to me so I’m staying away from those guys.
I’m staying away from the QB’s too mostly for those same reasons. Let’s take a look at tonight’s picks:
RB Jahmyr Gibbs +3 Receptions -235
The Cowboys are averaging 5 catches allowed to opposing RB’s over last 5 weeks.
TE Sam LaPorta +4 Receptions -275
Dallas has allowed 4 or more receptions to opposing TE’s in 8 out of the last 9 games.
RB Tony Pollard +40 Rushing Yards -290
Detroit has allowed the 4th most rushing yards per game on the road this year and the 5th most in the last 3 games.
Jake Ferguson +40 Receiving Yards -192
The Lions have allowed the 11th most receiving yards against opposing TE’s this year.
The Browns host the Jets tonight and Joe Flacco will really look to make New York regret not reaching out to him earlier this season when Aaron Rodgers went down.
Flacco has been an absolute savior for the Browns, going 3-1 in his 4 starts while filling in for the injured Deshaun Watson. The 38 year-old has been arguably one of the best quarterbacks in the entire league during that stretch, averaging 326 yards per game with 10 passing touchdowns.
Meanwhile, the Jets have gone from Zach Wilson, to Tim Boyle, back to Zach Wilson, and now put their faith in Trevor Siemian against the vaunted Browns defense.
The Browns are -7.5 point favorites tonight at home so let’s take a look at some promising player props.
Jets
Breece Hall 3+ Receptions
Currently at -550 on FanDuel, this is actually a conservative projection. As the primary running back, Hall has averaged 5.7 receptions in his last 10 games. I imagine Siemian will be under pressure all game from Myles Garrett and company and will look to get the ball out quickly and around the line of scrimmage. That plays perfectly for how the Jets have been utilizing Hall.
Garrett Wilson 40+ Yards Receiving
Currently at -220 on FanDuel. Garrett Wilson is an incredibly talented receiver but has no one to deliver him the ball on time and in space. Wilson has gone over the 40 yard mark in 4 out of his last 5 games and is the #1 option to stretch the field for New York.
Browns
Joe Flacco 225+ Passing Yards
Currently at -154 on FanDuel. In Flacco’s 1st start for Cleveland in Week 13 he threw for 254 yards in a loss against the Rams. He’s thrown for over 300 yards in the last 3 games after that with over 40 attempts in each. The Jets secondary is incredibly talented, but I predict that Flacco puts up solid yardage again due to sheer volume.
David Njoku 4+ Receptions
Currently at -490 on FanDuel. Flacco’s arrival has really unlocked tight end David Njoku’s potential. In his last 3 games, Njoku is averaging 80 yards and 7 receptions per game with 4 touchdowns.
StraightSports 